PM+: Meaningful reforms needed in Montenegro

Montenegro needs to make meaningful reforms if it is to accomplish its goal of EU membership, argues Matthias Menke.

By Matthias Menke

26 May 2015

Last week's European council conclusions on Montenegro's economic reform programme and the European commission's economic forecast on Montenegro both underscore, once again, the urgent need for the Montenegrin government to implement real and meaningful reforms and to settle its many outstanding international disputes if it wants to safeguard the country's financial stability and economic future.

European neighbourhood policy and enlargement commissioner Johannes Hahn has stressed the need for fiscal and budgetary consolidation in Montenegro, the lack of which poses a grave threat to the fundamentals of the Montenegrin economy.

Only last month, the European parliament's stabilisation and association parliamentary committee called on Montenegro to improve the business environment and notably expressed its concern about legal and judicial uncertainties including contract enforcement, "which may entail risks for economic actors and discourage foreign investments".


RELATED CONTENT


It was just such judicial uncertainties that saw CEAC stripped of its investments at the hands of the Montenegrin government.

The new round of contingent liabilities referred to in the commission's 2014 progress report are still very present due to a number of unresolved issues, including, as the commission's economic forecast on Montenegro referenced, the numerous cases around the KAP smelter.

The government's intransigence and unwillingness to address these issues with foreign investors has led to numerous international arbitration proceedings against the state of Montenegro totalling almost €1bn, nearly one third of the country's GDP, including the numerous cases CEAC has taken.

Should the arbitration courts find in favour in just some of these cases, this would pose an existential threat to the Montenegrin economy.

The Montenegrin government has repeatedly sought plaudits for its programme of reform legislation. But enacting legislation means nothing if that legislation is not enforced.

Commissioner Hahn is right to emphasise that Montenegro needs not just legislative reform but more importantly to deliver improvements on the ground.

His comments are a clear warning to the Montenegrin government that it really does need to make meaningful reforms, not just to be seen to reform, if it wants to progress further towards EU membership.

It should be deeply worrying for the Montenegrin government that, according to a recent Balkans barometer, a full 60 per cent of its population is either indifferent to or has a negative view of the country's ambition of joining the EU.

This is likely a reflection of the Montenegrin citizen's direct experience on the ground, where the rule of law is not respected and much-touted reforms are not implemented.

Why would men and women in the street have a positive view of their country's potential EU accession when the path to membership is not delivering improvements to their daily lives as promised?

That disillusionment is reflected in the 63 per cent of Montenegrins who, somewhat jadedly, think that the country's main motivation for joining the EU is that it would be 'good for business'.

It will come as a crushing blow to Montenegrin citizens if their government's inability to implement real and meaningful reform means that not even business will be able to benefit. This could well spark a flight of investors from a country that has demonstrated time and again its utter disregard for the rule of law.

 

Read the most recent articles written by Matthias Menke - PM+: MEPs voice 'serious concern' over Montenegro EU accession